5/02/2014

Discover Quality Change of U.S Postsecondary Institutions from 1990 to 2010 (data description)






       The dataset is U.S Department of Education’s The Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS) analytics from 1987 to 2010.[1] It is a panel data with a total of 202800 observations on 932 variables derived from institutional characteristics, finance expenditure, enrollment, completions, graduation rates, student financial aid, human resources IPEDS survey components and a limited number of outside sources.
      Expenditure variables are derived to present the function of expenditure in the broader context of different institutional purposes. Instruction, student services, and the associated share of overhead costs are grouped into education and related expenses; research and the associated share of overhead costs are grouped into research and related costs; and public services and the associated share of overhead costs are grouped into public service and related costs. These three categories along with net scholarships and fellowships combine to be education and general spending. The expenditures that are largely self-supporting, including independent operations, auxiliary enterprises, and hospitals are aggregated into a separate category. Variables have also been derived to put expenditures into the context of completions to show an estimate of what an institution spends for each degree or completion in a given year. In addition, variables to adjust the financial information to 2010 constant dollars have been included for Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Higher Education Price Index (HEPI) scalars.
      A word of caution about IPEDS data set is necessary. From 1990 to 1996 the financial accounting standard for all institutions was Government Accounting Standards Board (GASB). Starting from 1997, however, private institutions also had to report using Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB). To be consistent, this paper uses data reported under GASB, but some technical differences between the two accounting standards might lead to different results. In addition, expenditure on depreciation is a new concept for higher education institutions since the FASB change. Starting from 1998, private institutions began to report their spending on depreciation, while for public institutions, it was not until 2002 that a considerable amount of them did the report.
      For the 1626 institutions in my sample, real total expenditure per full time equivalent (FTE) student increased about 2.6 percent annually from 1990 to 2010. Over the same period, the CPI increased at an annual rate of 2.7 percent, while the HEPI increased by 3.5 percent. The implication is that only 0.8 percentage point of the 2.6 percent per year increase in real expenditure per FTE student can be accounted for by the inflation in inputs used intensively by colleges and universities. Thus, expenditure increases are more due to institutions’ own decisions.[2]     

      The previous paragraph shows that CPI and HEPI scalars have different deflation effects. In the rest of the paper, our expenditures are in 2009-2010 dollars, deflated by the CPI rather than the HEPI scalar, which was designed to deflate higher education related expenditure. The reason I didn’t use this scalar is because it might overstate or understate the inflationary effect. The prices of certain inputs with large weights in the HEPI, such as faculty salaries and fellowships of graduate teaching assistants, are partially determined by decisions of institutions themselves. If these institutions compete fiercely for capable professors, it will bid up price and thus HEPI. From this perspective, the HEPI doesn’t represent well as the uncontrollable increase in cost of higher education. [3]
      A summary of data shows that all four types of institutions experienced an increase in charging and spending over years. For public research universities, net tuition per full time equivalent (FTE) student in 2010 dollars increased 3.98 percent annually. In the meantime, average yearly increase of community colleges is 3.49 percent, while 1.44 percent and 1.49 percent for private research universities and private bachelor institutions, respectively.[4] 
      From this rough calculation, some people might argue that private institutions are not the ones that experienced the most drastic change of tuition charging. However, percentage change of net tuition for private institutions can be small for two reasons. Firstly, private institutions on average have a higher level of tuition than public peers, and thus a same amount of tuition increase yields a smaller percentage change. In addition, net tuition by definition is the amount of money institution takes in from student after institutional grant is provided (note that this doesn’t include external discounts and allowances), and it implies that private institutions might use scholarships and fellowships to attract students and lower their costs for attending.
      Data suggest that both reasons hold. Table 2 tabulates FTE real gross tuition of four types of institutions, and it is clear that private institutions charge tuitions that are many multiples of tuitions in the public sector, and in the aggregate they continue to thrive. Table 3 illustrates institutions’ trends of grant expenditure, and it is obvious that for private institutions, there is an increasing importance of scholarships spending. Private institutions have a steady increase in scholarship expenditure and in 2010 they spent more than 10000 dollars recruiting each student. On the other hand, public institutions’ trends of grant expenditure are rather flat and even decreased since 2000. Given that private institutions provide more scholarships on average, they can attract students with better academic performance and motivation. Since a good student body provides positive peer effect on learning (Winston & Zimmermann, 2004), being able to spend more on grants tends to motivate private institutions’ student selectivity in admission and further enhance their quality. Table 5 summarizes average score and standard deviation of SAT math 75 percentile for each type of institutions from 2002 to 2010, and it clearly shows that private research institutions recruit students with the best performance. One thing interesting is that average scores of private bachelor institutions are lower than public research institutions’, but we should notice that there is a big standard deviation in terms of score distribution. In my preliminary summary of grant expenditure, private bachelor institutions sector also has the largest standard deviation, which implies that among these colleges, difference of scholarship spending lead to different student bodies.
      As for total expenditure, the same story holds: all four types of institutions experienced continuous increase over years (see Table 6): private research universities have a 10 percent increase, with public research 30 percent, public associate 16 percent, and private bachelor 11 percent increase. A decomposition and comparison of expenditure by functions can tell us what functions have had priority among college executive boards over the last two decades. We can also draw inferences about quality change by tracking their spending records on instruction and research.
      The functional categories used by IPEDS encompass broad areas of the American higher education enterprise.
     One category of great interest is education related expenditure (Table 7), which consist of spending on instruction, student services, and the education share of spending on central academic and administrative support, and operations and maintenance.[5]  Although the increasing role of administrative spending has been criticized as exacerbating cost problems and pulling universities and colleges away from their core mission of educating students and expanding knowledge,[6] it is too radical to conclude that administrative investment has absolutely no impact on quality improvement.[7] For private research universities, though education related expenditure soared over 37000 dollars in 2000 and continues to thrive since then, in the meantime its share of total expenditure shrank from 57 percent to 46 percent in 2010 (Table 8). This suggests that private research institutions are spending a lot more in other fields in addition to this field.  For public research institutions, their investment in this area seems to keep the pace with their total expenditure over years, reflected by a rather flat slope. As for private bachelor institutions, share of education-related expenses keeps increasing over years and consisted of roughly 75 percent of total expenditure in 2010. This is not a surprising percentage since private bachelor institutions don’t have to spend on facilities oriented for research and graduate school training, and they can concentrate on undergraduate instruction. Community colleges have a relatively flat education related spending trend, but the share peaked at 82 percent in 2002 and dropped since then, implying that they may also be investing money in other fields.
      Now we turn to have a look at schools’ pattern of instruction expenditure. For community colleges, their real FTE spending on instruction decreased some years between 2000 and 2010, but at the same time their net tuition and total expenditure keep increasing. So over years community colleges somewhat cut their investment in instruction while keep students paying more for their maintenance, indicating that they may have some revenue pressure. Data on government grants support this claim. From 2000 to 2010, federal, state and local support plummeted. Since private endowment has never been a major source of revenue for community colleges, they face a lot of revenue pressure if government constrained their investment.
      As for the other three sectors of institutions, they don’t have such worry. Public research institutions’ total expenditure and net tuition keep increasing, while instruction and research expenditures are nearly constant over years. Government support is also flat during the time period, and thus it shows that public research institutions have been investing money in other areas expect for instruction and research. For private research institutions, their spending is increasing in nearly every aspect, ranging from instruction and researching to operation and maintenance. For private bachelor institutions, government support is decreasing over years, but instruction expenditure increases somehow. 

      A brief examination of expenditure trend shows that postsecondary institutions all experienced an increase of total expenditure and net tuition. For public associate institutions, expenditure on instruction decreases somehow and it is because the shrinkage of government funding puts financial constrains upon their budget. Research institutions don’t have such worries on revenue because their endowment and investment income are robust overall expect year 2009. As a result, they increased expenditure in literally every aspect. For private bachelor institutions, the main increase lies in grant expenditure. From this trend analysis, it seems public associate institutions don’t have much input in terms of producing better students while other types of schools might experience a higher increase of quality over years. To further examine the contributing effect of quality related expenditure upon total expenditure, I will use regression method, namely the fix effect model. 



 
 



Table5. SAT Math 75 Percentile Score
Academic year
Public research
Private research
Private bachelor
Community colleges
2002
614 (53)
664 (74)
601 (83)
494 (24)
2003
616 (52)
667 (74)
599 (80)
499 (26)
2004
619 (52)
670 (71)
600 (82)
509 (32)
2005
620 (53)
670 (75)
598 (82)
515 (40)
2006
621 (52)
676 (72)
598 (83)
518 (36)
2007
624 (53)
673 (77)
597 (82)
530 (43)
2008
622 (52)
669 (80)
592 (83)
536 (47)
2009
625 (53)
671 (82)
593 (85)
534 (48)
2010
625 (55)
677 (81)
590 (85)
526 (52)



 

  [1] IPEDS dataset is maintained and updated by The National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) and is downloadable from http://nces.ed.gov/ipeds/deltacostproject/

[2] The FTE count is included in IPEDS dataset. The formula is used by the U.S. Department of Education to produce the full-time equivalent enrollment data published annually in the Digest of Education Statistics. I did the percentage calculation based on raw data.
[3] Getz and Siegfried (1991) used gross national product (GNP) implicit price deflator instead. They claimed that the GNP deflator provided a standard economy-wide production index to assess change in the costs of higher education, while the CPI is more often used to evaluate tuition inflation since it reflects price of goods and services that people would have instead of a college education. Since CPI scalar is already included in the dataset, I used it as deflator for convenience. However, results might differ if GNP deflator is used instead. 

[4] Data summary tables, figures and regression results are in Appendix. 
[5] Percentage share was done by previous researchers and stored in IPEDS data set.

[6] American Association of University Professors (AAUP) publishes annual faculty compensation surveys and one of its main arguments is that massively disproportionate growth in the number of administrative employees, coupled with the continuing shift to an increasingly precarious corps of mostly temporary, underpaid, and insufficiently supported instructors, represents a real threat to the quality of academic programs. For the latest survey, refer to http://www.aaup.org/our-work/research/annual-report-economic-status-profession. However, we have to think carefully before accepting AAUP’s argument because it has a vested interest in finding that too little money is going to faculty and too much is to other areas like administration.

[7] American higher education has been attracting more applications from different countries, and numerous sources of revenues entails more reporting, so hiring more administrative staff is necessary and help faculty members dedicate to teaching and researching to some extent. This is one example that administrative spending can help enhance quality of higher education.

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